futures-position-sizer

Futures Position Sizer

Overview

Shapiro pipeline step 4: convert a direction, entry price, and stop-loss into a contract count, given an account risk budget and a verified contract spec (multiplier, tick size, tick value). This is a NEW, separate skill from position-sizer -- futures contracts are leveraged, multiplier-based instruments with wildly different dollar-per-point values (a $0.25 move is $12.50 on ES but $5.00 on NQ and $31.25 on ZB); reusing the equity share-count sizer for futures would silently produce wrong position sizes.

Two ways to size a trade:

• Mode A (explicit): supply --symbol --direction --entry --stop directly.
• Mode B (gate handoff): supply --gate-json <contrarian-setup-gate report> --entry. Direction and stop (the gate's invalidation_level) come from the gate's READY_FOR_PLAN report -- the sizer never sizes a setup the gate has not confirmed as READY, and never accepts an explicit --direction/--stop alongside --gate-json (the gate is authoritative when provided).

--entry is ALWAYS required, in both modes -- neither this skill nor the gate ever derives an entry price; the operator supplies it.

When to Use

• After contrarian-setup-gate reaches READY_FOR_PLAN and you need a contract count for the confirmed direction and stop
• User asks "how many ES/NQ/GC/CL/... contracts should I trade?"
• User has a futures trade idea with a known entry and stop and wants risk-based sizing
• User wants to check the verified contract spec (multiplier/tick size/tick value) for a symbol before sizing (--list-specs)