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planning-under-uncertainty

refoundai/lenny-skills

Help users plan products and strategy when outcomes are unpredictable. Use when someone is dealing with ambiguous timelines, building in fast-moving markets, planning AI/ML projects, or asking how to make commitments when they don't know what will happen.

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安装命令

npx skills add https://github.com/refoundai/lenny-skills --skill planning-under-uncertainty

SKILL.md

Planning Under Uncertainty

Help the user navigate product planning when the future is unclear using adaptive planning frameworks from 44 product leaders.

How to Help

When the user asks for help with planning under uncertainty:

  1. Understand the uncertainty type - Ask what's driving the ambiguity: technical unknowns, market volatility, AI/ML unpredictability, or organizational change
  2. Assess planning horizon - Determine if they need short-term execution tactics or long-term strategic flexibility
  3. Match framework to context - Recommend appropriate planning approaches based on their uncertainty profile
  4. Build in adaptation mechanisms - Help them create checkpoints and decision criteria for pivoting

Core Principles

Embrace optionality over prediction

Amjad Masad: "Being agile, not being stuck with roadmaps, being able to just say, oh, we're just going to switch priorities right away, is going to be super important." In rapidly changing environments like AI, maintain flexibility to pivot when new capabilities emerge rather than committing to rigid long-term plans.

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