AI导哈

数据与研究

fixed-income-corporate

joellewis/finance_skills

Analyze corporate bonds and credit instruments including investment grade and high yield debt. Use when the user asks about corporate bonds, credit spreads (OAS, Z-spread, G-spread), credit ratings, default probabilities, callable bonds, or private credit. Also trigger when users mention 'junk bonds', 'fallen angel', 'yield-to-worst', 'covenant analysis', 'CDS spreads', 'recovery rates', 'direct lending', 'mezzanine debt', 'BBB downgrade risk', or ask how to evaluate corporate credit risk.

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安装命令

npx skills add https://github.com/joellewis/finance_skills --skill fixed-income-corporate

SKILL.md

Fixed Income — Corporate

Core Concepts

Credit Spreads

Compensation for default risk, liquidity risk, and downgrade risk above the risk-free rate. Multiple spread measures exist with increasing precision:

G-spread (Government Spread): Bond yield minus interpolated Treasury yield of the same maturity. Simple but assumes a flat term structure between benchmark maturities.

Z-spread (Zero-Volatility Spread): The constant spread added to each point on the risk-free spot rate curve such that the sum of discounted cash flows equals the bond's market price. Superior to G-spread because it accounts for the full shape of the term structure.

OAS (Option-Adjusted Spread): For bonds with embedded options, OAS = Z-spread minus the value of the embedded option. OAS represents the "true" credit compensation after removing the option component. Requires an interest rate model to compute.

Credit Ratings

AAA/AA/A/BBB are investment grade. BB/B/CCC/CC/C/D are high yield (speculative grade). The BBB/BB boundary is the most consequential threshold — many institutional mandates prohibit sub-investment-grade holdings. A downgrade across this boundary ("fallen angel") forces selling by constrained investors.

Migration Matrix

A transition matrix shows the probability of moving from one rating to another over a 1-year horizon. A BBB-rated issuer has roughly 85-90% probability of remaining BBB, 4-5% chance of upgrade, 4-5% chance of downgrade, and a small probability (~0.2%) of default. Migration matrices are published annually by rating agencies.

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